All of the times he's gone below 50 previously, were following bounce breaking cycles. So if you look at the cycles just before the low drops, he's gone from a high number down to a blue preshot, then low that next cycle. That's a sign of a bounce breaking. The momentum from that carried onto the following cycle and took him below 50. He doesn't always go to low greens following a bounce breaking cycle, but it's a pattern worth looking out for.
Usually patterns follow a few cycles in a row. If you look at the cycles two before he's gone low, Jack has done the "high before the bounce break". Meaning that cycle for the most part has been steadily rising to a high preshot. Once I figured out some of Neko's patterns on Lantus, I had a heads up when an action cycle would occur.
The other thing at play today is that skip the PM of the 6th. Until whatever dose you did last night, the depot was still building from the skip.
